No water usage at all, I've purposefully not used any water at all for that time period to get a read on the behaviour.Yes, you could say "nothing to see here, move on" but is intriguing if nothing else but very few would notice that small change in usage anyway.
Would that period of no usage coincide with heavier cold water usage I wonder.
So it's probably likely in normal usage scenarios it's probably letting more water into the tank but, this is an almost fake scenario with no water usage over that time frame.
It's definitely something on the HW side considering if the cold supply to the tank is turned off water usage is exactly zero over the same time period.